Pakistan's monsoon season could last longer than usual this year, possibly stretching into late September, as shifting climate patterns continue to disrupt traditional weather cycles, experts have warned.

Typically ending by mid-September, this year's monsoon is expected to linger due to climate change impact. Meteorologists say that while the northern and upper regions — including parts of Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa — have already seen substantial rainfall, southern Pakistan has remained largely dry.

However, that may soon change. Weather experts anticipate a shift in monsoon winds starting August 10, which could finally bring rain to the southern parts of the country by mid-August.

Meanwhile, the Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) Punjab has issued a fresh alert ahead of the sixth spell of monsoon rains, warning of heavy rainfall in most districts from August 5. The alert predicts more rainfall than seen in July, increasing the likelihood of medium to high-level flooding in the Chenab and Jhelum rivers.

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Districts likely to be affected include Lahore, Sialkot, Gujranwala, Faisalabad, Okara, Jhang, Mianwali, Rajanpur, Dera Ghazi Khan, and several others. Rain is also expected in popular hill stations like Murree and Galliyat, where landslide warnings have been issued.

Currently, a low-level flood has been reported at the Khanki point of the Chenab River. Similar conditions have been noted in the Indus River at Kalabagh, Chashma, and Taunsa. Tarbela Dam is at 89% capacity, while Mangla Dam stands at 61%.

PDMA officials, under the direction of Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz, have issued alerts to commissioners, deputy commissioners, and disaster response departments across Punjab. Emergency control rooms are being activated, while Rescue 1122 teams have been instructed to remain on high alert.

“There is a risk of landslides in Murree and Galliyat and possible damage to mud houses and old buildings,” said PDMA Director General Irfan Ali Kathia. He urged citizens, particularly tourists, to remain cautious and avoid unnecessary travel during bad weather.

People have also been advised to stay in safe areas during urban flooding, avoid crossing flowing water, and to immediately contact the PDMA helpline 1129 in case of emergencies.